2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to the ultimate four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to face the winner of the Spain vs. Portugal game that takes place later today.
Recent history between both of these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't worry about yesteryear, they may be dedicated to the sport available.
The German squad haven't beaten Italy inside a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, forget about about it, days gone by doesn't may play a role new soccer stadiums usa inside our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is always that Germany has not won against Italy in a major tournament, but what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time for Germany to win as these are the favored at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will likely be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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